Economic Impact of

by Christopher Bartlett, CEO Founder of tapestry®
This Economic Impact Report is a practical model that shows what Retail+ by tapestry® could be worth in your business. Using inputs you already know - such as revenue, gross margin and labour costs - along with supporting research - it converts everyday operational improvements into a clear annual value per store. Assumptions are conservative to avoid double counting.

Its purpose is to build a finance-ready business case backed by research, to align operations and commercial teams around shared metrics, and to identify where Retail+ will deliver the fastest payback.
What Retailers gain from using tapestry
Extra profit per store year - driven by faster execution and stronger margin control
A $37K - A$226K
extra profit per store per year
Protect & Grow Margin
Most impact comes from margin protection. Even small basis-point wins add up fast across A$30m revenue.
Recover Lost Sales
Recover sales you would otherwise miss through faster, smarter execution - spotting and fixing issues earlier.
Fewer Mistakes,
More Time
Free up team time and reduce costly errors by turning exceptions into clear tasks and lists.
Problem → Fix loop
Late
Visibility →
Lost Sales
& Margin →
Retail+ Closes
the Loop →
Confirmed
Recovery →
By the time you spot a problem - a promo that’s not set up, stock that’s missing, a category drifting - you’ve already lost sales and margin.
  • Retail+ lets you see it, understand it, fix it, and confirm it worked - in real time.
  • Tasks and lists make sure nothing slips through.
  • Hank, our Intelligent Assistant, answers the questions your analyst would, so decisions happen faster.
Get your personalised estimate
Discover how much Retail+ could be worth to your store.
Apply below for your ROI estimate
How to prove it
This report provides modelled, indicative estimates. We recommend running a pilot across a small store set to confirm how Retail+ works for. you.  
Run a pilot in a handful of stores
  • Use matched control stores
  • Keep scope tight: focus on repeatable issues and fast execution loops.
Track the results
  • How fast you spot and fix issues
  • How many actions get closed
  • How much performance you recover

1. Executive Summary

Retail+ concentrates value in five retailer levers:

(1) sales recapture/uplift,

(2) gross-margin basis point gains,

(3) hours returned (capacity unlocked),

(4) execution/compliance risk avoidance, and

(5) optional supplier contribution margin via data access/monetisation.

Using an assumed A$30m revenue per store example, the model estimates annual per-store value of ~A$32.5k (Conservative), ~A$100.7k (Moderate), ~A$221.4k (Aggressive).

Retail+ matters because it compresses the loop from “spot” → “diagnose” → “act” → “confirm” using live analytics plus execution tooling (tasks/lists), with Hank enabling bounded, analyst-like Q&A against live performance patterns.

Scenario range (per store, annual): ~A$32k to ~A$221k, dominated by margin bps and execution-driven sales recapture.

2. Report Metadata

Confidence score rationale (63/100):

3. Methodology Overview

Feature → Benefit → Economics mapping

  1. Start with verifiable features from the supplied feature list (e.g., Real-time Analytics, Search & Scan, Task Management, Lists Management, Basket Analytics, Spaces, Data Trading, multi-device access, Hank).
  2. Convert each feature into an operational benefit with a measurable proxy (examples: time-to-insight, promo readiness error rate, task closure time, attach rate, sales/GM variance recovery rate).
  3. Convert each benefit into a P&L mechanism:
    • Sales uplift → incremental gross profit = ΔSales × GM%
    • Margin gain → incremental gross profit = Sales × ΔGM (bps)
    • Hours returned → hours × cost/hr × capture% (capacity vs cash)
    • Compliance/risk avoided → expected value reduction
    • Supplier contribution margin → supplier subscription/data access contribution

Scenario modelling

We model three scenarios (Conservative / Moderate / Aggressive) that represent differences in:

Sensitivity modelling

We publish:

Benchmark triangulation

We treat benchmarks as plausibility bounds (headroom and mechanism support), not promises - drawing from the benchmark libraries compiled inside the role reports (availability/OOS, execution/inventory accuracy, analytics-performance evidence, shelf/space response, wage context, gross margin context, data monetisation margin proxies).

Conservative bias and validation

4. Role Context: Operational Realities & Challenges

Across retailers, the recurring constraints are remarkably consistent:

  1. Decision latency cost: when insight arrives weekly/monthly, issues have already leaked sales and margin. Retail+ positions “live, store-level insight you can act on” to shorten that latency.
  2. Execution gap: good decisions don’t pay if store execution is inconsistent (promo setup, ticketing, ranging compliance, gap closure). Tasks + Lists explicitly target “nothing slips through the cracks.”
  3. Margin pressure (bps matter): small basis-point improvements applied to a large sales base become material profit. Multiple role models converge on margin bps as the dominant sensitivity.
  4. Labour constraints: the opportunity is often capacity unlock (better prioritisation, faster “truth checks”, less ad-hoc reporting), not immediate headcount reduction.
  5. Supplier relationships and data governance: retailers want clearer, data-backed joint business planning and (optionally) to convert reporting burden into governed supplier-paid access—while keeping permissions/ownership under retailer control.

5. Feature → Benefit → Economic Mechanism Mapping

5.1 Feature Summary

Retail+ includes:

5.2 Benefits Extracted

Feature Operational benefit
(retailer lens)
Evidence source Measurement type
Real-time Analytics (incl. dept/category/supplier drilldown) Faster detection of drift; earlier correction of margin/sales leakage; credible “one version of truth” Feature list + role models time-to-insight; variance recovery rate; GM$/sales recovery
Search & Scan “Truth in seconds” in aisle and in supplier meetings; less analyst dependency Feature list + role models time per query; reporting hours avoided; issue identification rate
Home Screen Prioritisation and exception management (top/bottom, tasks, key metrics) Feature list + role models daily/weekly review time; actions created per insight; follow-up rate
Tasks Converts insight to accountable execution; audit trail; reduces slippage Feature list + role models completion %; time-to-close; overdue %; repeat-issue rate
Lists Standardises workflows (delists, promos, stocktakes, gap checks) Feature list + role models promo readiness; missed-line rate; list compliance; rework rate
Basket analytics Improves “profit per trip” (attach/bundles; promo profitability) Feature list + role models basket value/margin/profit; attach rate; promo incrementality proxy
Spaces (Pro) Improves sales/GP density by reallocating space to higher-return bays/endcaps Feature list + role models GP per sqm/bay; endcap ROI; performance variance by bay
Data trading Optional, governed supplier-paid access; reduces ad-hoc reporting load; new high-margin contribution line Feature list + role models supplier subscription uptake; contribution margin; reporting hours avoided
Hank (bounded Q&A patterns) Reduces friction to answer core trading questions; increases cadence of decisions and follow-through into tasks Feature list + provided scope + role models query cycle time; decision cadence; actions created from answers

Hank capability scope constraint: This report assumes Hank can reliably answer questions on department declines/rankings, product margin/profit queries with thresholds, growth products/categories, top/bottom SKUs, rolling totals, most profitable departments - i.e., analyst-like retrieval and ranking on POS-derived structures - currently in line with the current version of Hank, and not “open-ended magic”. This aligns with how the role reports constrain scope to explicit analytics patterns.

5.3 Economic Mechanisms

Benefit cluster Primary economic lever Mechanism (how value shows up)
Faster exception detection (real-time + home + search/scan + Hank) Sales uplift, margin gain, hours returned Reduce time-to-correct leaks; expand cadence of review; improve mix/promo decisions sooner
Execution reliability (tasks + lists) Sales protection, risk avoidance, hours returned Fewer missed promos, ticketing errors, delayed fixes; fewer repeat issues; less rework
Basket-quality optimisation (basket analytics) Sales uplift, margin gain Improve attach/bundles; avoid “discount-only” promos; lift gross profit per trip
Space optimisation (Spaces Pro) Sales uplift, margin gain Allocate space to higher-return bays/endcaps; improve profit density
Supplier monetisation (data trading) Supplier contribution margin Sell governed insight access; convert reporting burden into subscription-like contribution

6. Financial & Operational Assumptions

Baseline assumptions (inputs)

Variable Value Source Confidence
Revenue/store A$30,000,000 / year User-provided requirement High
Baseline GM% 27% (sensitivity 25–30%) Benchmark context referenced across role reports (AU grocery GM anchors); used as modelling baseline Medium
Labour cost/hr (fully loaded) A$35/hr (sensitivity A$32–A$40) Role-report wage/on-cost modelling default Medium
Overlap haircut (double-count guardrail) 15% of (GP from sales uplift + GP from margin gain) Conservative modelling convention used in CFO-style framing Medium
Discount rate (NPV) 8% Common hurdle-rate proxy used in role reports; replace with your WACC Medium
Adoption ramp (10 years) Y1 40%, Y2 70%, Y3 90%, Y4–10 100% Change-management realism assumption used across role reports Medium–Low
Store size / complexity notes Mid/large, multi-department grocery-format store (illustrative) Not provided; assumption Low–Med

Scenario input ranges (used in modelling)

Driver Conservative Moderate Aggressive Notes
Sales uplift (% of revenue) 0.20% 0.50% 1.00% Small net capture vs known “availability/execution” headroom; treated as plausibility-bounded, not guaranteed
Margin gain (bps on total sales) +5 bps +15 bps +30 bps Margin bps typically dominates value; consistent with role-model ranges
Hours saved weekly (gross) 4 hrs/wk 8 hrs/wk 12 hrs/wk Mix of less ad-hoc reporting + faster checks + tighter execution loops
Hours capture factor (cash-releasing vs capacity) 30% 50% 70% Conservative lens: not all time becomes cost-out; still valuable as redeployable capacity
Compliance / risk avoided (EV) A$3k/yr A$10k/yr A$25k/yr Expected value placeholder; validate with incident frequency and remediation cost data
Supplier contribution margin (optional) A$5k/yr A$15k/yr A$40k/yr Only if monetisation is activated and governed; otherwise set to 0

7. Economic Impact Modelling (Per Store)

7.1 Impact Areas

We quantify five impact areas (annual, per store):

  1. Sales uplift → incremental gross profit from incremental sales
  2. Margin gain → incremental gross profit from basis-point improvement
  3. Hours returned → monetised at labour cost/hr × capture% (capacity vs cash)
  4. Compliance / risk avoidance → expected value reduction
  5. Supplier contribution margin → optional contribution from governed supplier-paid access

Core formulas (per store):

7.2 Per-Store Annual Impact Table (A$, per store, per year)

Assumptions used: R = A$30,000,000; GM = 27%; labour = A$35/hr; overlap haircut k = 15%.

Impact area Conservative Moderate Aggressive
Incremental sales (revenue) 60,000 150,000 300,000
GP from sales uplift 16,200 40,500 81,000
GP from margin gain 15,000 45,000 90,000
Less: overlap haircut (15%) (4,680) (12,825) (25,650)
Captured hours returned value 2,184 7,280 15,288
Compliance / risk avoided (EV) 3,000 10,000 25,000
Supplier contribution margin (optional) 5,000 15,000 40,000
Total annual value / store 36,704 104,955 225,638

Interpretation:

7.3 Sensitivity Analysis

7.3.1 “Value per unit change” (per store, annual)

Using R = 30m, GM = 27%, and overlap haircut k = 15%:

Key takeaway: the model is most sensitive to margin basis points, then sales uplift, then supplier CM, then hours returned (unless you can truly cash out labour). This ordering matches the role-report sensitivity conclusions.

7.3.2 Moderate-scenario one-at-a-time sensitivity (illustrative)

Base Moderate total = A$104,955 / store / year.

Change (Moderate scenario) New total Delta
Sales uplift 0.50% → 0.40% 98,070 -6,885
Sales uplift 0.50% → 0.60% 111,840 +6,885
Margin gain 15 bps → 10 bps 92,205 -12,750
Margin gain 15 bps → 20 bps 117,705 +12,750
Hours saved 8 → 6 hrs/wk 103,135 -1,820
Hours saved 8 → 10 hrs/wk 106,775 +1,820
Capture 50% → 30% 102,043 -2,912
Supplier CM 15k → 0 89,955 -15,000
Risk avoided 10k → 0 94,955 -10,000
Overlap haircut 15% → 20% 100,680 -4,275

7.3.3 GM% sensitivity (affects sales-uplift component only)

Example (Moderate sales uplift = 0.50%):

8. Multi-Store & Long-Term Value

8.1 Annual Impact at Scale (A$/year)

(Linear scaling shown for transparency; in reality, some components may show economies of scale while execution variance may reduce linearity.)

Stores Conservative Moderate Aggressive
1 36,704 104,955 225,638
5 183,520 524,775 1,128,190
10 367,040 1,049,550 2,256,380
100 3,670,400 10,495,500 22,563,800
1,000 36,704,000 104,955,000 225,638,000

8.2 10-Year Cumulative Impact

Adoption ramp used: Yr1 40%, Yr2 70%, Yr3 90%, Yr4–10 100% (sum factor = 9.0×).

Per store (10-year):

At 100 stores (NPV @ 8%, illustrative):

8.3 Payback & ROI Profile

Because solution pricing and rollout cost were not provided, the defensible approach is threshold and formula outputs.

  1. Break-even all-in annual cost per store (value-based ceiling):
    • Conservative: A$36.7k/year
    • Moderate: A$105.0k/year
    • Aggressive: A$225.6k/year
  2. Payback (months) if annual cost per store is known:
    • Payback months ≈ 12 × (Annual Cost / Annual Benefit)
    • Example (illustrative only): if annual all-in cost = A$30,000/store:
    • Conservative: 12 × 30,000 / 36,704 ≈ 9.8 months
    • Moderate: 12 × 30,000 / 104,955 ≈ 3.4 months
    • Aggressive: 12 × 30,000 / 225,638 ≈ 1.6 months

9. Dependencies, Risks & Conditions

Preconditions (needed to realise value)

  1. Data readiness: clean POS ingestion, stable product hierarchy (dept/category), supplier mapping, consistent promo identifiers.
  2. Operating cadence: weekly exceptions review + monthly commercial review using the same views; decisions must be routinised.
  3. Execution loop: tasks/lists must be used and closed with evidence/verification, not just created.
  4. Governance for supplier access: permissions, aggregation rules, contracts, and audit trails before data trading/marketplace concepts are activated.

Risks (and why they matter)

10. Citations & Evidence Library

Below is the benchmark set referenced across the role reports to support mechanisms and bound assumptions (used for plausibility, not as guarantees).

  1. Data-driven decision-making and performance (“Strength in Numbers”)
    • Authors: Brynjolfsson, Hitt, Kim
    • Year: 2011
    • Sample: 179 large firms (multi-industry)
    • Geography: US / large-firm context
    • Relevance: supports “faster insight → higher productivity/output” directionality
  2. On-shelf availability / out-of-stocks benchmark (ECR “Blue Book”)
    • Org: ECR Europe
    • Year: 2003 (republished/used widely)
    • Sample: large observational base (reported in role report)
    • Geography: Europe
    • Relevance: anchors that OOS is material and process-driven; supports sales-recapture plausibility
  3. Out-of-stocks consumer response synthesis (Corsten & Gruen research stream)
    • Authors: Corsten & Gruen
    • Year: early 2000s stream (cited in role reports)
    • Geography: global/meta
    • Relevance: supports that some OOS becomes truly lost sales; informs conservative recapture assumptions
  4. Execution and inventory inaccuracy evidence
    • Raman, DeHoratius, Ton (Execution in retail ops)
    • DeHoratius & Raman (inventory record inaccuracy empirical analysis; large sample across stores/records)
    • Relevance: supports that execution failures are common and profit-damaging; justifies tooling that closes the loop
  5. Shelf/space response (space elasticity meta-analysis + field experiments)
    • Eisend (meta-analysis; many elasticity estimates)
    • Drèze, Hoch, Purk (field experiments)
    • Relevance: supports that space/layout interventions can move sales, informing the “Spaces” mechanism
  6. Gross margin benchmark context (Australian grocery)
    • Sources: public reporting referenced within role reports (e.g., Coles/Woolworths margin anchors)
    • Relevance: calibrates GM% for scaling uplift to GP$
  7. Wage and on-cost context (Australia)
    • Sources: award wage references + statutory super context (as compiled in role reports)
    • Relevance: informs labour value of hours returned
  8. Data monetisation / retail media margin proxies
    • Sources: industry margin proxies cited in role reports (e.g., Reuters/Deloitte-style high-margin ranges)
    • Relevance: supports that supplier-paid data access can be structurally high contribution, but is governance-dependent

11. Appendices

Appendix A — Raw formula list (copy/paste model spec)

Let:

Then:

  1. GP_sales = R × su × GM
  2. GP_margin = R × mg
  3. Overlap = k × (GP_sales + GP_margin)
  4. Hours_value = h × 52 × w × cap
  5. Total annual value = GP_sales + GP_margin − Overlap + Hours_value + risk + scm

10-year:

Appendix B — Extra models to tighten precision (recommended validation approach)

  1. Availability model (OOS-based): measure baseline OOS proxies; estimate reduction; convert to recovered sales using observed substitution behaviours.
  2. Promo incrementality model: use basket analytics to separate incremental GP from cannibalised discounting.
  3. Execution model: link task/list completion to measurable outcomes (promo readiness, gap closure time, repeat issue rate) and quantify sales/GM recovery.
  4. Supplier monetisation model: package tiers × supplier uptake × price × contribution margin; stage-gate with governance.

Appendix C — Full feature mapping matrix (condensed)

Feature Sales uplift Margin gain Hours returned Risk avoided Supplier CM
Real-time analytics (indirect)
Search & scan (indirect)
Home screen ✓ (via prioritisation)
Tasks ✓ (sales protection) ✓ (via execution discipline)
Lists
Basket analytics
Spaces (Pro)
Data trading ✓ (reporting reduction) ✓ (governance)
Hank (bounded Q&A)

(Feature definitions and “coming soon” flags are taken from the feature list.)

Appendix D — Cross-check: role-model outputs vs this consolidated retailer model

The role reports you supplied produce the following per-store annual ranges (each uses slightly different baseline GM%, labour treatment, and supplier assumptions). This consolidated model is designed to sit within the envelope and uses an explicit overlap haircut + hours capture factor for conservatism.

Role report Conservative Moderate Aggressive Notes
CEO/Owner 24,820 59,050 119,100 Excludes supplier CM by default; uses labour “realisation rate” concept
CFO 40,780 109,685 227,090 Explicit 15% overlap haircut; supplier CM included
COO 27,830 92,950 201,820 Includes labour capture factor and optional supplier CM
Buying Manager 39,440 117,500 242,400 Margin-bps heavy; data trading treated as optional upside
Category Manager 58,600 169,340 342,040 Higher assumed GM gain and supplier CM in that role model
This consolidated retailer model 36,704 104,955 225,638 Harmonised inputs (GM 27%, overlap 15%, hours capture 30/50/70%)

TL;DR

1. Executive Summary

Retail+ concentrates value in five retailer levers: (1) sales recapture/uplift, (2) gross-margin basis point gains, (3) hours returned (capacity unlocked), (4) execution/compliance risk avoidance, and (5) optional supplier contribution margin via data access/monetisation.

Using your required A$30m revenue per store example, the model estimates annual per-store value of ~A$36.7k (Conservative), ~A$105.0k (Moderate), ~A$225.6k (Aggressive).

Retail+ matters because it compresses the loop from “spot” → “diagnose” → “act” → “confirm” using live analytics plus execution tooling (tasks/lists), with Hank enabling bounded, analyst-like Q&A against live performance patterns.

Scenario range (per store, annual): ~A$37k to ~A$226k, dominated by margin bps and execution-driven sales recapture.

2. Report Metadata

Confidence score rationale (63/100):

3. Methodology Overview (Scientific Approach)

Feature → Benefit → Economics mapping

  1. Start with verifiable features from the supplied feature list (e.g., Real-time Analytics, Search & Scan, Task Management, Lists Management, Basket Analytics, Spaces, Data Trading, multi-device access, Hank).
  2. Convert each feature into an operational benefit with a measurable proxy (examples: time-to-insight, promo readiness error rate, task closure time, attach rate, sales/GM variance recovery rate).
  3. Convert each benefit into a P&L mechanism:
    • Sales uplift → incremental gross profit = ΔSales × GM%
    • Margin gain → incremental gross profit = Sales × ΔGM (bps)
    • Hours returned → hours × cost/hr × capture% (capacity vs cash)
    • Compliance/risk avoided → expected value reduction
    • Supplier contribution margin → supplier subscription/data access contribution

Scenario modelling

We model three scenarios (Conservative / Moderate / Aggressive) that represent differences in:

Sensitivity modelling

We publish:

Benchmark triangulation

We treat benchmarks as plausibility bounds (headroom and mechanism support), not promises - drawing from the benchmark libraries compiled inside the role reports (availability/OOS, execution/inventory accuracy, analytics-performance evidence, shelf/space response, wage context, gross margin context, data monetisation margin proxies).

Conservative bias and validation

4. Role Context: Operational Realities & Challenges

Across retailers, the recurring constraints are remarkably consistent:

  1. Decision latency cost: when insight arrives weekly/monthly, issues have already leaked sales and margin. Retail+ positions “live, store-level insight you can act on” to shorten that latency.
  2. Execution gap: good decisions don’t pay if store execution is inconsistent (promo setup, ticketing, ranging compliance, gap closure). Tasks + lists explicitly target “nothing slips through the cracks.”
  3. Margin pressure (bps matter): small basis-point improvements applied to a large sales base become material profit. Multiple role models converge on margin bps as the dominant sensitivity.
  4. Labour constraints: the opportunity is often capacity unlock (better prioritisation, faster “truth checks”, less ad-hoc reporting), not immediate headcount reduction.
  5. Supplier relationships and data governance: retailers want clearer, data-backed joint business planning and (optionally) to convert reporting burden into governed supplier-paid access—while keeping permissions/ownership under retailer control.

5. Feature → Benefit → Economic Mechanism Mapping

5.1 Feature Summary

Retail+ includes:

5.2 Benefits Extracted

Feature Operational benefit
(retailer lens)
Evidence source Measurement type
Real-time Analytics (incl. dept/category/supplier drilldown) Faster detection of drift; earlier correction of margin/sales leakage; credible “one version of truth” Feature list + role models time-to-insight; variance recovery rate; GM$/sales recovery
Search & Scan “Truth in seconds” in aisle and in supplier meetings; less analyst dependency Feature list + role models time per query; reporting hours avoided; issue identification rate
Home Screen Prioritisation and exception management (top/bottom, tasks, key metrics) Feature list + role models daily/weekly review time; actions created per insight; follow-up rate
Tasks Converts insight to accountable execution; audit trail; reduces slippage Feature list + role models completion %; time-to-close; overdue %; repeat-issue rate
Lists Standardises workflows (delists, promos, stocktakes, gap checks) Feature list + role models promo readiness; missed-line rate; list compliance; rework rate
Basket analytics Improves “profit per trip” (attach/bundles; promo profitability) Feature list + role models basket value/margin/profit; attach rate; promo incrementality proxy
Spaces (Pro) Improves sales/GP density by reallocating space to higher-return bays/endcaps Feature list + role models GP per sqm/bay; endcap ROI; performance variance by bay
Data trading Optional, governed supplier-paid access; reduces ad-hoc reporting load; new high-margin contribution line Feature list + role models supplier subscription uptake; contribution margin; reporting hours avoided
Hank (bounded Q&A patterns) Reduces friction to answer core trading questions; increases cadence of decisions and follow-through into tasks Feature list + provided scope + role models query cycle time; decision cadence; actions created from answers

Hank capability scope constraint: This report assumes the current capabilities of Hank (department declines/rankings, product margin/profit queries with thresholds, growth products/categories, top/bottom SKUs, rolling totals, most profitable departments) - i.e., analyst-like retrieval and ranking on POS-derived structures, not “open-ended magic”. This aligns with how the role reports constrain scope to explicit analytics patterns.

5.3 Economic Mechanisms

Benefit cluster Primary economic lever Mechanism (how value shows up)
Faster exception detection (real-time + home + search/scan + Hank) Sales uplift, margin gain, hours returned Reduce time-to-correct leaks; expand cadence of review; improve mix/promo decisions sooner
Execution reliability (tasks + lists) Sales protection, risk avoidance, hours returned Fewer missed promos, ticketing errors, delayed fixes; fewer repeat issues; less rework
Basket-quality optimisation (basket analytics) Sales uplift, margin gain Improve attach/bundles; avoid “discount-only” promos; lift gross profit per trip
Space optimisation (Spaces Pro) Sales uplift, margin gain Allocate space to higher-return bays/endcaps; improve profit density
Supplier monetisation (data trading) Supplier contribution margin Sell governed insight access; convert reporting burden into subscription-like contribution

6. Financial & Operational Assumptions

Baseline assumptions (inputs)

Variable Value Source Confidence
Revenue/store A$30,000,000 / year User-provided requirement High
Baseline GM% 27% (sensitivity 25–30%) Benchmark context referenced across role reports (AU grocery GM anchors); used as modelling baseline Medium
Labour cost/hr (fully loaded) A$35/hr (sensitivity A$32–A$40) Role-report wage/on-cost modelling default Medium
Overlap haircut (double-count guardrail) 15% of (GP from sales uplift + GP from margin gain) Conservative modelling convention used in CFO-style framing Medium
Discount rate (NPV) 8% Common hurdle-rate proxy used in role reports; replace with your WACC Medium
Adoption ramp (10 years) Y1 40%, Y2 70%, Y3 90%, Y4–10 100% Change-management realism assumption used across role reports Medium–Low
Store size / complexity notes Mid/large, multi-department grocery-format store (illustrative) Not provided; assumption Low–Med

Scenario input ranges (used in modelling)

Driver Conservative Moderate Aggressive Notes
Sales uplift (% of revenue) 0.20% 0.50% 1.00% Small net capture vs known “availability/execution” headroom; treated as plausibility-bounded, not guaranteed
Margin gain (bps on total sales) +5 bps +15 bps +30 bps Margin bps typically dominates value; consistent with role-model ranges
Hours saved weekly (gross) 4 hrs/wk 8 hrs/wk 12 hrs/wk Mix of less ad-hoc reporting + faster checks + tighter execution loops
Hours capture factor (cash-releasing vs capacity) 30% 50% 70% Conservative lens: not all time becomes cost-out; still valuable as redeployable capacity
Compliance / risk avoided (EV) A$3k/yr A$10k/yr A$25k/yr Expected value placeholder; validate with incident frequency and remediation cost data
Supplier contribution margin (optional) A$5k/yr A$15k/yr A$40k/yr Only if monetisation is activated and governed; otherwise set to 0

7. Economic Impact Modelling (Per Store)

7.1 Impact Areas

We quantify five impact areas (annual, per store):

  1. Sales uplift → incremental gross profit from incremental sales
  2. Margin gain → incremental gross profit from basis-point improvement
  3. Hours returned → monetised at labour cost/hr × capture% (capacity vs cash)
  4. Compliance / risk avoidance → expected value reduction
  5. Supplier contribution margin → optional contribution from governed supplier-paid access

Core formulas (per store):

7.2 Per-Store Annual Impact Table (A$, per store, per year)

Assumptions used: R = A$30,000,000; GM = 27%; labour = A$35/hr; overlap haircut k = 15%.

Impact area Conservative Moderate Aggressive
Incremental sales (revenue) 60,000 150,000 300,000
GP from sales uplift 16,200 40,500 81,000
GP from margin gain 15,000 45,000 90,000
Less: overlap haircut (15%) (4,680) (12,825) (25,650)
Captured hours returned value 2,184 7,280 15,288
Compliance / risk avoided (EV) 3,000 10,000 25,000
Supplier contribution margin (optional) 5,000 15,000 40,000
Total annual value / store 36,704 104,955 225,638

Interpretation:

7.3 Sensitivity Analysis

7.3.1 “Value per unit change” (per store, annual)

Using R = 30m, GM = 27%, and overlap haircut k = 15%:

Key takeaway: the model is most sensitive to margin basis points, then sales uplift, then supplier CM, then hours returned (unless you can truly cash out labour). This ordering matches the role-report sensitivity conclusions.

7.3.2 Moderate-scenario one-at-a-time sensitivity (illustrative)

Base Moderate total = A$104,955 / store / year.

Change (Moderate scenario) New total Delta
Sales uplift 0.50% → 0.40% 98,070 -6,885
Sales uplift 0.50% → 0.60% 111,840 +6,885
Margin gain 15 bps → 10 bps 92,205 -12,750
Margin gain 15 bps → 20 bps 117,705 +12,750
Hours saved 8 → 6 hrs/wk 103,135 -1,820
Hours saved 8 → 10 hrs/wk 106,775 +1,820
Capture 50% → 30% 102,043 -2,912
Supplier CM 15k → 0 89,955 -15,000
Risk avoided 10k → 0 94,955 -10,000
Overlap haircut 15% → 20% 100,680 -4,275

7.3.3 GM% sensitivity (affects sales-uplift component only)

Example (Moderate sales uplift = 0.50%):

8. Multi-Store & Long-Term Value

8.1 Annual Impact at Scale (A$/year)

(Linear scaling shown for transparency; in reality, some components may show economies of scale while execution variance may reduce linearity.)

Stores Conservative Moderate Aggressive
1 36,704 104,955 225,638
5 183,520 524,775 1,128,190
10 367,040 1,049,550 2,256,380
100 3,670,400 10,495,500 22,563,800
1,000 36,704,000 104,955,000 225,638,000

8.2 10-Year Cumulative Impact

Adoption ramp used: Yr1 40%, Yr2 70%, Yr3 90%, Yr4–10 100% (sum factor = 9.0×).

Per store (10-year):

At 100 stores (NPV @ 8%, illustrative):

8.3 Payback & ROI Profile

Because solution pricing and rollout cost were not provided, the defensible approach is threshold and formula outputs.

  1. Break-even all-in annual cost per store (value-based ceiling):
    • Conservative: A$36.7k/year
    • Moderate: A$105.0k/year
    • Aggressive: A$225.6k/year
  2. Payback (months) if annual cost per store is known:
    • Payback months ≈ 12 × (Annual Cost / Annual Benefit)
    • Example (illustrative only): if annual all-in cost = A$30,000/store:
    • Conservative: 12 × 30,000 / 36,704 ≈ 9.8 months
    • Moderate: 12 × 30,000 / 104,955 ≈ 3.4 months
    • Aggressive: 12 × 30,000 / 225,638 ≈ 1.6 months

9. Dependencies, Risks & Conditions

Preconditions (needed to realise value)

  1. Data readiness: clean POS ingestion, stable product hierarchy (dept/category), supplier mapping, consistent promo identifiers.
  2. Operating cadence: weekly exceptions review + monthly commercial review using the same views; decisions must be routinised.
  3. Execution loop: tasks/lists must be used and closed with evidence/verification, not just created.
  4. Governance for supplier access: permissions, aggregation rules, contracts, and audit trails before data trading/marketplace concepts are activated.

Risks (and why they matter)

10. Citations & Evidence Library

Below is the benchmark set referenced across the role reports to support mechanisms and bound assumptions (used for plausibility, not as guarantees).

  1. Data-driven decision-making and performance (“Strength in Numbers”)
    • Authors: Brynjolfsson, Hitt, Kim
    • Year: 2011
    • Sample: 179 large firms (multi-industry)
    • Geography: US / large-firm context
    • Relevance: supports “faster insight → higher productivity/output” directionality
  2. On-shelf availability / out-of-stocks benchmark (ECR “Blue Book”)
    • Org: ECR Europe
    • Year: 2003 (republished/used widely)
    • Sample: large observational base (reported in role report)
    • Geography: Europe
    • Relevance: anchors that OOS is material and process-driven; supports sales-recapture plausibility
  3. Out-of-stocks consumer response synthesis (Corsten & Gruen research stream)
    • Authors: Corsten & Gruen
    • Year: early 2000s stream (cited in role reports)
    • Geography: global/meta
    • Relevance: supports that some OOS becomes truly lost sales; informs conservative recapture assumptions
  4. Execution and inventory inaccuracy evidence
    • Raman, DeHoratius, Ton (Execution in retail ops)
    • DeHoratius & Raman (inventory record inaccuracy empirical analysis; large sample across stores/records)
    • Relevance: supports that execution failures are common and profit-damaging; justifies tooling that closes the loop
  5. Shelf/space response (space elasticity meta-analysis + field experiments)
    • Eisend (meta-analysis; many elasticity estimates)
    • Drèze, Hoch, Purk (field experiments)
    • Relevance: supports that space/layout interventions can move sales, informing the “Spaces” mechanism
  6. Gross margin benchmark context (Australian grocery)
    • Sources: public reporting referenced within role reports (e.g., Coles/Woolworths margin anchors)
    • Relevance: calibrates GM% for scaling uplift to GP$
  7. Wage and on-cost context (Australia)
    • Sources: award wage references + statutory super context (as compiled in role reports)
    • Relevance: informs labour value of hours returned
  8. Data monetisation / retail media margin proxies
    • Sources: industry margin proxies cited in role reports (e.g., Reuters/Deloitte-style high-margin ranges)
    • Relevance: supports that supplier-paid data access can be structurally high contribution, but is governance-dependent

11. Appendices

Appendix A — Raw formula list

Let:

Then:

  1. GP_sales = R × su × GM
  2. GP_margin = R × mg
  3. Overlap = k × (GP_sales + GP_margin)
  4. Hours_value = h × 52 × w × cap
  5. Total annual value = GP_sales + GP_margin − Overlap + Hours_value + risk + scm

10-year:

Appendix B — Extra models to tighten precision (recommended validation approach)

  1. Availability model (OOS-based): measure baseline OOS proxies; estimate reduction; convert to recovered sales using observed substitution behaviours.
  2. Promo incrementality model: use basket analytics to separate incremental GP from cannibalised discounting.
  3. Execution model: link task/list completion to measurable outcomes (promo readiness, gap closure time, repeat issue rate) and quantify sales/GM recovery.
  4. Supplier monetisation model: package tiers × supplier uptake × price × contribution margin; stage-gate with governance.

Appendix C — Full feature mapping matrix (condensed)

Feature Sales uplift Margin gain Hours returned Risk avoided Supplier CM
Real-time analytics (indirect)
Search & scan (indirect)
Home screen ✓ (via prioritisation)
Tasks ✓ (sales protection) ✓ (via execution discipline)
Lists
Basket analytics
Spaces (Pro)
Data trading ✓ (reporting reduction) ✓ (governance)
Hank (bounded Q&A)

(Feature definitions and “coming soon” flags are taken from the feature list.)

Appendix D — Cross-check: role-model outputs vs this consolidated retailer model

The role reports supplied produce the following per-store annual ranges (each uses slightly different baseline GM%, labour treatment, and supplier assumptions). This consolidated model is designed to sit within the envelope and uses an explicit overlap haircut + hours capture factor for conservatism.

Role report Conservative Moderate Aggressive Notes
CEO/Owner 24,820 59,050 119,100 Excludes supplier CM by default; uses labour “realisation rate” concept
CFO 40,780 109,685 227,090 Explicit 15% overlap haircut; supplier CM included
COO 27,830 92,950 201,820 Includes labour capture factor and optional supplier CM
Buying Manager 39,440 117,500 242,400 Margin-bps heavy; data trading treated as optional upside
Category Manager 58,600 169,340 342,040 Higher assumed GM gain and supplier CM in that role model
This consolidated retailer model 36,704 104,955 225,638 Harmonised inputs (GM 27%, overlap 15%, hours capture 30/50/70%)
This Economic Impact Report is a practical model that shows what Retail+ by tapestry® could be worth to your business. Using inputs you already know - such as revenue, gross margin, labour costs - along with supporting research, it converts everyday operational improvements into a clear annual value per store. Assumptions are conservative to avoid double counting.

Its purpose is to build a finance-ready business case backed by research, to align operations and commercial teams around shared metrics, and to identify where Retail+ will deliver the fastest payback.
What Retailers gain from using tapestry
Extra profit per store year - driven by faster execution and stronger margin control
A $37K - A$221K
extra profit per store per year
  • Depends on how quickly you move and how well your data is set up
  • Based on a typical A$30m store at 27% gross margin
Protect & Grow Margin
Most impact comes from margin protection. Even small basis-point wins add up fast across A$30m revenue.
Recover Lost Sales
Recover sales you would otherwise miss through faster, smarter execution - spotting and fixing issues earlier.
Fewer Mistakes,
More Time
Free up team time and reduce costly errors by turning exceptions into clear tasks and lists.
Problem → Fix loop
Late
Visibility →
Lost Sales
& Margin →
Retail+ Closes
the Loop →
Confirmed
Recovery →
By the time you spot a problem - a promo that’s not set up, stock that’s missing, a category drifting - you’ve already lost sales and margin.
  • Retail+ lets you see it, understand it, fix it, and confirm it worked - in real time.
  • Tasks and lists make sure nothing slips through
  • Hank, our Intelligent Assistant, answers the questions your analyst would, so decisions happen faster.
Get your personalised estimate
Discover how much Retail+ could be worth to your store.
Apply below for your ROI estimate
How to prove it
This report provides modelled, indicative estimates. Run a pilot across a small store set to confirm how Retail+ performs for you.
Run a pilot in a handful of stores
  • Use matched control stores.
  • Keep scope tight: focus on repeatable issues and fast execution loops
Track the results
  • How fast you spot and fix issues
  • How many actions get closed
  • How much performance you recover

1. Executive Summary

Retail+ concentrates value in five retailer levers:

(1) sales recapture/uplift,

(2) gross-margin basis point gains,

(3) hours returned (capacity unlocked),

(4) execution/compliance risk avoidance, and

(5) optional supplier contribution margin via data access/monetisation.

Using an assumed A$30m revenue per store example, this model estimates annual per-store value of ~A$32.5k (Conservative), ~A$100.7k (Moderate), ~A$221.4k (Aggressive).

Retail+ matters because it compresses the loop from “spot” → “diagnose” → “act” → “confirm” using live analytics plus execution tooling (tasks/lists), with Hank enabling analyst-like Q&A against live performance patterns.

Scenario range (per store, annual): ~A$32k to ~A$221k, dominated by margin bps and execution-driven sales recapture.

2. Report Metadata

  1. Role: Retailer decision‑makers (Executive team: CEO/Owner, CFO, COO, Commercial/Category leaders)
  2. Version: v1.0 (scenario model + substantiation-ready structure; designed to be replaced with actual store inputs)
  3. Feature List Version: “Features Homepage” + Retail+ feature descriptions provided.
  4. Date: 18 Jan 2026
  5. Confidence Score (0–100):63 / 100
  6. Evidence Sources Used (this report):
    1. Feature definitions and positioning (what Retail+ does): Features Homepage on tapestry website.
    2. Role-specific economic models used as triangulation anchors and to bound assumptions/ranges (CEO/Owner, CFO, COO, Buying Manager, Category Manager).
    3. Benchmark library embedded inside those role reports (e.g., on-shelf availability/out-of-stocks research, data-driven decision-making performance evidence, shelf/space elasticity, wage/on-cost context, gross margin context, data monetisation margin proxies).

Confidence score rationale (63/100):

  1. Upward drivers: feature capability statements are explicit; multiple reputable benchmark “headroom” sources are cited across the role reports (availability/OOS, execution/inventory accuracy, analytics-performance linkage, shelf/space response).
  2. Downward drivers: only revenue/store is given as a baseline figure; baseline GM%, fully-loaded labour, supplier monetisation participation, overlap between levers are assumptions (clearly exposed and sensitivity-tested).

3. Methodology Overview

Feature → Benefit → Economics mapping

  1. Start with verifiable features from the Retail+'s feature list (e.g., Real-time Analytics, Search & Scan, Task Management, Lists Management, Basket Analytics, Spaces, Data Trading, multi-device access, Hank).
  2. Convert each feature into an operational benefit with a measurable proxy (examples: time-to-insight, promo readiness error rate, task closure time, attach rate, sales/GM variance recovery rate).
  3. Convert each benefit into a P&L mechanism:
    • Sales uplift → incremental gross profit = ΔSales × GM%
    • Margin gain → incremental gross profit = Sales × ΔGM (bps)
    • Hours returned → hours × cost/hr × capture% (capacity vs cash)
    • Compliance/risk avoided → expected value reduction
    • Supplier contribution margin → supplier subscription/data access contribution
  1. Sales uplift → incremental gross profit = ΔSales × GM%
  2. Margin gain → incremental gross profit = Sales × ΔGM (bps)
  3. Hours returned → hours × cost/hr × capture% (capacity vs cash)
  4. Compliance/risk avoided → expected value reduction
  5. Supplier contribution margin → supplier subscription/data access contribution

Scenario modelling

We model three scenarios (Conservative / Moderate / Aggressive) that represent differences in:

  1. data readiness,
  2. adoption and operating cadence,
  3. execution discipline,
  4. supplier participation (for data monetisation).

Sensitivity modelling

We publish:

  1. unit economics (“value per +10 bps margin”, etc.),
  2. GM% sensitivity (affects sales-uplift GP component).
  3. a moderate-case one-at-a-time sensitivity table,

Benchmark triangulation

We treat benchmarks as plausibility bounds (headroom and mechanism support), not promises -drawing from the benchmark libraries compiled inside the role reports (availability/OOS, execution/inventory accuracy, analytics-performance evidence, shelf/space response, wage context, gross margin context, data monetisation margin proxies).

Conservative bias and validation

  1. Overlap haircut: we apply a 15% overlap reduction to combined sales-uplift + margin-gain GP to reduce double-counting risk (a conservative modelling guardrail).
  2. Hours captured: we treat “hours returned” as partially captured (not all time becomes cash savings).
  3. Validation plan: outcome claims should be validated via a store pilot using matched controls and difference‑in‑differences (outlined in Appendix models).

4. Role Context: Operational Realities & Challenges

Across retailers, the recurring constraints are remarkably consistent:

  1. Decision latency cost: when insight arrives weekly/monthly, issues have already leaked sales and margin. Retail+ positions “live, store-level insight you can act on” to shorten that latency.
  2. Execution gap: good decisions don’t pay if store execution is inconsistent (promo setup, ticketing, ranging compliance, gap closure). Tasks + Lists explicitly target “nothing slips through the cracks.”
  3. Margin pressure (bps matter): small basis-point improvements applied to a large sales base become material profit. Multiple role models converge on margin bps as the dominant sensitivity.
  4. Labour constraints: the opportunity is often capacity unlock (better prioritisation, faster “truth checks”, less ad-hoc reporting), not immediate headcount reduction.
  5. Supplier relationships and data governance: retailers want clearer, data-backed joint business planning and (optionally) to convert reporting burden into governed supplier-paid access - while keeping permissions/ownership under retailer control.

5. Feature → Benefit → Economic Mechanism Mapping

5.1 Feature Summary

Retail+ includes:

  1. Mobile, tablet and desktop access
  2. Search and scan (including barcode scan)
  3. Home Screen (performance overview + priority tasks)
  4. Real-time Analytics, including: compare, export (CSV), store & group views, department insights, category drill-down, supplier performance, manufacturer insights, basket analysis, comprehensive analysis report
  5. Task management
  6. Lists management
  7. Spaces (Retail+ Pro) (aisle-to-bay performance)
  8. Basket analytics (basket value, margin, profit)
  9. Data trading (package and sell data to chosen suppliers; retailer controls permissions)
  10. Hank – your Intelligent Assistant (analyst-like Q&A; carries context into workflows)
  11. Department Workflow Recommendations (weekly recommendations; task conversion)
  12. Trend Analysis and Insights (plain-language summaries + next steps)
  13. Data Marketplace (permissioned sharing at chosen granularity)
  14. Retailer – Supplier Task Collaboration (coming soon)
  15. Conversations (coming soon)

5.2 Benefits Extracted

Feature Operational benefit
(retailer lens)
Evidence source Measurement type
Real-time Analytics (incl. dept/category/supplier drilldown) Faster detection of drift; earlier correction of margin/sales leakage; credible “one version of truth” Feature list + role models time-to-insight; variance recovery rate; GM$/sales recovery
Search & Scan “Truth in seconds” in aisle and in supplier meetings; less analyst dependency Feature list + role models time per query; reporting hours avoided; issue identification rate
Home Screen Prioritisation and exception management (top/bottom, tasks, key metrics) Feature list + role models daily/weekly review time; actions created per insight; follow-up rate
Tasks Converts insight to accountable execution; audit trail; reduces slippage Feature list + role models completion %; time-to-close; overdue %; repeat-issue rate
Lists Standardises workflows (delists, promos, stocktakes, gap checks) Feature list + role models promo readiness; missed-line rate; list compliance; rework rate
Basket analytics Improves “profit per trip” (attach/bundles; promo profitability) Feature list + role models basket value/margin/profit; attach rate; promo incrementality proxy
Spaces (Pro) Improves sales/GP density by reallocating space to higher-return bays/endcaps Feature list + role models GP per sqm/bay; endcap ROI; performance variance by bay
Data trading Optional, governed supplier-paid access; reduces ad-hoc reporting load; new high-margin contribution line Feature list + role models supplier subscription uptake; contribution margin; reporting hours avoided
Hank (bounded Q&A patterns) Reduces friction to answer core trading questions; increases cadence of decisions and follow-through into tasks Feature list + provided scope + role models query cycle time; decision cadence; actions created from answers

Hank capability scope constraint: This report assumes Hank can reliably answer questions on department declines/rankings, product margin/profit queries with thresholds, growth products/categories, top/bottom SKUs, rolling totals, most profitable departments - i.e., analyst-like retrieval and ranking on POS-derived structures - currently in line with the current version of Hank, and not “open-ended magic”. This aligns with how the role reports constrain scope to explicit analytics patterns.

5.3 Economic Mechanisms

Benefit cluster Primary economic lever Mechanism (how value shows up)
Faster exception detection (real-time + home + search/scan + Hank) Sales uplift, margin gain, hours returned Reduce time-to-correct leaks; expand cadence of review; improve mix/promo decisions sooner
Execution reliability (tasks + lists) Sales protection, risk avoidance, hours returned Fewer missed promos, ticketing errors, delayed fixes; fewer repeat issues; less rework
Basket-quality optimisation (basket analytics) Sales uplift, margin gain Improve attach/bundles; avoid “discount-only” promos; lift gross profit per trip
Space optimisation (Spaces Pro) Sales uplift, margin gain Allocate space to higher-return bays/endcaps; improve profit density
Supplier monetisation (data trading) Supplier contribution margin Sell governed insight access; convert reporting burden into subscription-like contribution

6. Financial & Operational Assumptions

Baseline assumptions (inputs)

Variable Value Source Confidence
Revenue/store A$30,000,000 / year User-provided requirement High
Retail+ subscription cost A$350/store/month (A$4200/store/year) User-provided requirement High
Baseline GM% 27% (sensitivity 25–30%) Benchmark context referenced across role reports (AU grocery GM anchors); used as modelling baseline Medium
Labour cost/hr (fully loaded) A$35/hr (sensitivity A$32–A$40) Role-report wage/on-cost modelling default Medium
Overlap haircut (double-count guardrail) 15% of (GP from sales uplift + GP from margin gain) Conservative modelling convention used in CFO-style framing Medium
Discount rate (NPV) 8% Common hurdle-rate proxy used in role reports; replace with your WACC Medium
Adoption ramp (10 years) Y1 40%, Y2 70%, Y3 90%, Y4–10 100% Change-management realism assumption used across role reports Medium–Low
Store size / complexity notes Mid/large, multi-department grocery-format store (illustrative) Not provided; assumption Low–Med

Scenario input ranges (used in modelling)

Driver Conservative Moderate Aggressive Notes
Sales uplift (% of revenue) 0.20% 0.50% 1.00% Small net capture vs known “availability/execution” headroom; treated as plausibility-bounded, not guaranteed
Margin gain (bps on total sales) +5 bps +15 bps +30 bps Margin bps typically dominates value; consistent with role-model ranges
Hours saved weekly (gross) 4 hrs/wk 8 hrs/wk 12 hrs/wk Mix of less ad-hoc reporting + faster checks + tighter execution loops
Hours capture factor (cash-releasing vs capacity) 30% 50% 70% Conservative lens: not all time becomes cost-out; still valuable as redeployable capacity
Compliance / risk avoided (EV) A$3k/yr A$10k/yr A$25k/yr Expected value placeholder; validate with incident frequency and remediation cost data
Supplier contribution margin (optional) A$5k/yr A$15k/yr A$40k/yr Only if monetisation is activated and governed; otherwise set to 0

7. Economic Impact Modelling (Per Store)

7.1 Impact Areas

We quantify five impact areas (annual, per store):

  1. Sales uplift → incremental gross profit from incremental sales
  2. Margin gain → incremental gross profit from basis-point improvement
  3. Hours returned → monetised at labour cost/hr × capture% (capacity vs cash)
  4. Compliance / risk avoidance → expected value reduction
  5. Supplier contribution margin → optional contribution from governed supplier-paid access

Core formulas (per store):

  • Incremental GP from sales uplift = R × su × GM
  • Incremental GP from margin gain = R × mg
  • Overlap haircut (conservative) = k × (GP_sales + GP_margin)
  • Captured hours value = hours_saved × 52 × labour_cost × capture
  • Supplier contribution = supplier_CM (modelled directly as contribution)
  • Total annual value = GP_sales + GP_margin − overlap + hours_value + risk_EV + supplier_CM

7.2 Per-Store Annual Impact Table (A$, per store, per year)

Assumptions used: R = A$30,000,000; GM = 27%; labour = A$35/hr; overlap haircut k = 15%.

Impact area Conservative Moderate Aggressive
Incremental sales (revenue) 60,000 150,000 300,000
GP from sales uplift 16,200 40,500 81,000
GP from margin gain 15,000 45,000 90,000
Less: overlap haircut (15%) (4,680) (12,825) (25,650)
Captured hours returned value 2,184 7,280 15,288
Compliance / risk avoided (EV) 3,000 10,000 25,000
Supplier contribution margin (optional) 5,000 15,000 40,000
Total annual value / store 36,704 104,955 225,638
Less: Retail+ subscription cost (A$4200/yr) (4,200) (4,200) (4,200)
Net annual value/store 32,504 100,755 221,483

Interpretation:

  • The model is intentionally “small percentage” economics: even the Moderate case is ~0.35% of annual sales in profit-equivalent value - consistent with the idea that Retail+ primarily reduces leakage and improves decision cadence rather than creating a one-off transformation event.
  • Most value comes from margin bps + recaptured sales, with hours returned and supplier CM as secondary (supplier CM can become material if actively commercialised).

7.3 Sensitivity Analysis

7.3.1 “Value per unit change” (per store, annual)

Using R = 30m, GM = 27%, and overlap haircut k = 15%:

  • +10 bps margin gain (0.10%)
    • Gross: 30,000,000 × 0.001 = A$30,000
    • Net-of-overlap (if sales/margin are the only changing pieces): A$25,500
  • +10 bps sales uplift (0.10%)
    • Gross GP: 30,000,000 × 0.001 × 0.27 = A$8,100
    • Net-of-overlap: A$6,885
  • +1 hour/week saved
    • Gross economic value: 52 × 35 = A$1,820
    • Captured value depends on capture% (e.g., 50% → A$910)
  • +A$1,000/year risk avoided+A$1,000
  • +A$1,000/year supplier contribution margin+A$1,000

Key takeaway: the model is most sensitive to margin basis points, then sales uplift, then supplier CM, then hours returned (unless you can truly cash out labour). This ordering matches the role-report sensitivity conclusions.

7.3.2 Moderate-scenario one-at-a-time sensitivity (illustrative)

Base Moderate total = A$104,955 / store / year.

Change (Moderate scenario) New total Delta
Sales uplift 0.50% → 0.40% 98,070 -6,885
Sales uplift 0.50% → 0.60% 111,840 +6,885
Margin gain 15 bps → 10 bps 92,205 -12,750
Margin gain 15 bps → 20 bps 117,705 +12,750
Hours saved 8 → 6 hrs/wk 103,135 -1,820
Hours saved 8 → 10 hrs/wk 106,775 +1,820
Capture 50% → 30% 102,043 -2,912
Supplier CM 15k → 0 89,955 -15,000
Risk avoided 10k → 0 94,955 -10,000
Overlap haircut 15% → 20% 100,680 -4,275

7.3.3 GM% sensitivity (affects sales-uplift component only)

Example (Moderate sales uplift = 0.50%):

  • At GM = 25%, GP_sales = 30m × 0.005 × 0.25 = A$37,500 (vs A$40,500 at 27%).
  • This shifts total modestly relative to margin bps sensitivity - again consistent with role reports.

8. Multi-Store & Long-Term Value

8.1 Annual Impact at Scale (A$/year)

(Linear scaling shown for transparency; in reality, some components may show economies of scale while execution variance may reduce linearity.)

Stores Conservative Moderate Aggressive
1 32,504 100,755 221,438
5 162,520 503,775 1,107,190
10 325,040 1,007,550 2,214,380
100 3,250,400 10,075,500 22,143,800
1,000 32,504,000 100,755,000 221,438,000

8.2 10-Year Cumulative Impact

Adoption ramp used: Yr1 40%, Yr2 70%, Yr3 90%, Yr4–10 100% (sum factor = 9.0×).

Per store (10-year):

  • Undiscounted:
    • Conservative: A$288,336
    • Moderate: A$902,595
    • Aggressive: A$1,988,742
  • NPV @ 8% (illustrative):
    • Conservative: A$185,359
    • Moderate: A$582,440
    • Aggressive: A$1,284,566

At 100 stores (NPV @ 8%, illustrative):

  • Conservative: A$18.54m
  • Moderate: A$58.24m
  • Aggressive: A$128.46m

8.3 Payback & ROI Profile

A Retail+ subscription cost is A$350 per store per month (A$4,200 per year per store).

  1. Break-even all-in annual cost per store (value-based ceiling):
    • Conservative: A$32.5k/year
    • Moderate: A$100.7k/year
    • Aggressive: A$221.4k/year
  2. Payback (months):
    • Payback months ≈ 12 × (Annual Cost / Annual Benefit)
    • Example (illustrative only): if annual all-in cost = A$30,000/store:
    • Conservative:  ≈ 1.4 months
    • Moderate:  ≈ .05 months
    • Aggressive: ≈ 0.2 months
  3. Benefit-to cost multiple (annual benefit/annual cost):
    • Conservative: ~8.7×
    • Moderate: ~25.0×
    • Aggressive: ~53.7×

9. Dependencies, Risks & Conditions

Preconditions (needed to realise value)

  1. Data readiness: clean POS ingestion, stable product hierarchy (dept/category), supplier mapping, consistent promo identifiers.
  2. Operating cadence: weekly exceptions review + monthly commercial review using the same views; decisions must be routinised.
  3. Execution loop: tasks/lists must be used and closed with evidence/verification, not just created.
  4. Governance for supplier access: permissions, aggregation rules, contracts, and audit trails before data trading/marketplace concepts are activated.

Risks (and why they matter)

  • Double-counting risk: sales uplift and margin gain can overlap (mix, availability, promo effects). Mitigation: overlap haircut + benefits ledger + pilot attribution.
  • Adoption risk: dashboards without behaviour change yield little. Mitigation: embed into rituals; make “Home Screen → drilldown → task → closure” the operating rhythm.
  • Labour capture risk: hours returned may not convert to cash. Mitigation: track “capacity unlocked” separately from “cash released”; redeploy time to availability, promo readiness, range discipline.
  • Supplier monetisation risk: commercial upside depends on supplier appetite and governance. Mitigation: treat supplier CM as optional; stage-gate with legal/privacy and clear packaging.
  • Feature delivery risk: some features are explicitly marked as “coming soon”; realised value depends on what is delivered and adopted.

10. Citations & Evidence Library

Below is the benchmark set referenced across the role reports to support mechanisms and bound assumptions (used for plausibility, not as guarantees).

  1. Data-driven decision-making and performance (“Strength in Numbers”)
    • Authors: Brynjolfsson, Hitt, Kim
    • Year: 2011
    • Sample: 179 large firms (multi-industry)
    • Geography: US / large-firm context
    • Relevance: supports “faster insight → higher productivity/output” directionality
  2. On-shelf availability / out-of-stocks benchmark (ECR “Blue Book”)
    • Org: ECR Europe
    • Year: 2003 (republished/used widely)
    • Sample: large observational base (reported in role report)
    • Geography: Europe
    • Relevance: anchors that OOS is material and process-driven; supports sales-recapture plausibility
  3. Out-of-stocks consumer response synthesis (Corsten & Gruen research stream)
    • Authors: Corsten & Gruen
    • Year: early 2000s stream (cited in role reports)
    • Geography: global/meta
    • Relevance: supports that some OOS becomes truly lost sales; informs conservative recapture assumptions
  4. Execution and inventory inaccuracy evidence
    • Raman, DeHoratius, Ton (Execution in retail ops)
    • DeHoratius & Raman (inventory record inaccuracy empirical analysis; large sample across stores/records)
    • Relevance: supports that execution failures are common and profit-damaging; justifies tooling that closes the loop
  5. Shelf/space response (space elasticity meta-analysis + field experiments)
    • Eisend (meta-analysis; many elasticity estimates)
    • Drèze, Hoch, Purk (field experiments)
    • Relevance: supports that space/layout interventions can move sales, informing the “Spaces” mechanism
  6. Gross margin benchmark context (Australian grocery)
    • Sources: public reporting referenced within role reports (e.g., Coles/Woolworths margin anchors)
    • Relevance: calibrates GM% for scaling uplift to GP$
  7. Wage and on-cost context (Australia)
    • Sources: award wage references + statutory super context (as compiled in role reports)
    • Relevance: informs labour value of hours returned
  8. Data monetisation / retail media margin proxies
    • Sources: industry margin proxies cited in role reports (e.g., Reuters/Deloitte-style high-margin ranges)
    • Relevance: supports that supplier-paid data access can be structurally high contribution, but is governance-dependent

11. Appendices

Appendix A — Raw formula list (copy/paste model spec)

Let:

  • R = annual revenue per store
  • GM = baseline gross margin rate
  • su = sales uplift rate
  • mg = margin gain rate (bps as decimal)
  • k = overlap haircut factor (conservative)
  • h = hours saved per week
  • w = labour cost per hour
  • cap = labour capture factor
  • risk = compliance/risk avoided expected value per year
  • scm = supplier contribution margin per year

Then:

  1. GP_sales = R × su × GM
  2. GP_margin = R × mg
  3. Overlap = k × (GP_sales + GP_margin)
  4. Hours_value = h × 52 × w × cap
  5. Total annual value = GP_sales + GP_margin − Overlap + Hours_value + risk + scm

10-year:

  • Undiscounted: Total_10y = Total_annual × Σ Adoption_t
  • NPV: NPV = Σ (Total_annual × Adoption_t / (1+r)^t)

Appendix B — Extra models to tighten precision (recommended validation approach)

  1. Availability model (OOS-based): measure baseline OOS proxies; estimate reduction; convert to recovered sales using observed substitution behaviours.
  2. Promo incrementality model: use basket analytics to separate incremental GP from cannibalised discounting.
  3. Execution model: link task/list completion to measurable outcomes (promo readiness, gap closure time, repeat issue rate) and quantify sales/GM recovery.
  4. Supplier monetisation model: package tiers × supplier uptake × price × contribution margin; stage-gate with governance.

Appendix C — Full feature mapping matrix (condensed)

Feature Sales uplift Margin gain Hours returned Risk avoided Supplier CM
Real-time analytics (indirect)
Search & scan (indirect)
Home screen ✓ (via prioritisation)
Tasks ✓ (sales protection) ✓ (via execution discipline)
Lists
Basket analytics
Spaces (Pro)
Data trading ✓ (reporting reduction) ✓ (governance)
Hank (bounded Q&A)

(Feature definitions and “coming soon” flags are taken from the feature list.)

Appendix D — Cross-check: role-model outputs vs this consolidated retailer model

The role reports supplied produce the following per-store annual ranges (each uses slightly different baseline GM%, labour treatment, and supplier assumptions). The per role estimates do not factor in the cost of a Retail + subscription. This consolidated model is designed to sit within the envelope and uses an explicit overlap haircut + hours capture factor for conservatism.

Role report Conservative Moderate Aggressive Notes
CEO/Owner 24,820 59,050 119,100 Excludes supplier CM by default; uses labour “realisation rate” concept
CFO 40,780 109,685 227,090 Explicit 15% overlap haircut; supplier CM included
COO 27,830 92,950 201,820 Includes labour capture factor and optional supplier CM
Buying Manager 39,440 117,500 242,400 Margin-bps heavy; data trading treated as optional upside
Category Manager 58,600 169,340 342,040 Higher assumed GM gain and supplier CM in that role model
This consolidated retailer model 32,504 100,755 221,438 Harmonised inputs (GM 27%, overlap 15%, hours capture 30/50/70%) and net of Retail+ Subscription (A$4,200 per year)